Tuesday, July 5, 2016

CITIES CANNOT HAVE IT ALL

The Housing Trilemma   Josh Lehner    6.8.16

Like most things in life, Cities cannot have it all  - when it comes to strong economy, high quality of life and affordability. 

Every city wants to have a strong local economy, high quality of life and housing affordability for its residents. Unfortunately these three dimensions represent the Housing Trilemma. A city can achieve success on two but not all three at the same time. Underlying all of these tradeoffs are local policies as well.

The reason these tradeoffs exist is mostly, but not entirely, due to market forces. People want to live in cities with a strong economy and high quality of life. Increased demand for housing leads to higher prices and lower affordability. Nice places to live get their housing costs bid up due to strong demand.  The opposite is true as well. Regions with under-performing economies and lower quality of life do have better affordability.

Clearly a few patterns emerge. In particular the popular metropolitan areas stand out, not least because their eroding housing affordability is constantly discussed. What you could call the cool city profile is seen in the Denver’s, Portland’s and San Francisco’s of the world. In a way, they are victims of their own success. Their strong regional economy and high quality of life do come as the cost of lower housing affordability.


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